Other side: Under 1.5 goals · ours 24% · bookmaker 20% · 4.33
Other side: Under 2.5 goals · ours 48% · bookmaker 45% · 2.10
Other side: Under 3.5 goals · ours 70% · bookmaker 67% · 1.44
Other side: Both teams to score: No · ours 49% · bookmaker 42% · 2.20
No prediction: our likeliest result is not the bookmaker's favourite. When that has happened, our side has come in about 28% of the time and theirs about 45%. Not a tip either way. Bookmaker chances have the margin removed.
CompactStats rates Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus (Europa League, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Rennes 32%, the draw 31% and Olympiakos Piraeus 37%.
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| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals a game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| This game | Rennes | Olympiakos Piraeus | League | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | 78% | 62% | 71% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 79% | 86% | 66% | 79% |
| Goal in both halves | 57% | 70% | 40% | 58% |
Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 42%).
This game = our chance. Rennes: last 50 games, Olympiakos Piraeus: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.
More: Europa League fixtures
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
| Market | Price | Bookmaker % | Our chance | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 55% | 52% | -3 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 45% | 48% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 | 58% | 51% | -8 |
Bookmaker % has the bookmaker's margin removed, so it compares directly with our chance. Diff is the gap in points: plus means we rate the outcome likelier than the price does. It is not value or a tip: when we disagree, the bookmaker has usually been right. Prices are a pre-match snapshot from one bookmaker, last checked at 12:04 UK time on Sun 1 Nov, and move all the time.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.