PSL · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 17:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Kaizer Chiefs vs Amazulu (PSL, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 36% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with Kaizer Chiefs 41%, the draw 28% and Amazulu 30%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | No |
| Kaizer Chiefs win | 41% | Pick |
| Draw | 28% | |
| Amazulu win | 30% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 59% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | |
| Goal in both halves | 41% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 38% | 38% | 75% |
| Amazulu | 8 | 38% | 13% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 59% | 59% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 24% | 23% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | 70% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 27% | 30% |
| Goal in both halves | 41% | 43% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 42% | 2nd 40% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaizer Chiefs | 52% | 70% | 50 |
| Amazulu | 64% | 70% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 55% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Kaizer Chiefs season stats · Amazulu season stats · PSL table and form
League. PSL has had over 2.5 goals in 30% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Kaizer Chiefs 3 of 8 (1 of 4 at home), Amazulu 3 of 8 (3 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 32% and 32%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 27% and 29%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 29%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 40% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 29%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.29 (Kaizer Chiefs) v 1.07 (Amazulu) give 42%; 30% weight: 33%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 36%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.