Meistriliiga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 10:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Kalju Nomme vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga, Sunday, 1 November 2026) 57% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Kalju Nomme 67%, the draw 21% and Kuressaare 13%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | Yes |
| Kalju Nomme win | 67% | Pick |
| Draw | 21% | |
| Kuressaare win | 13% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 82% | |
| Goal in both halves | 59% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju Nomme | 32 | 50% | 28% | 53% |
| Kuressaare | 32 | 53% | 34% | 47% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 75% | 82% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 40% | 46% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 82% | 83% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 45% | 50% |
| Goal in both halves | 59% | 67% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju Nomme | 68% | 82% | 50 |
| Kuressaare | 66% | 78% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 77% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Kalju Nomme season stats · Kuressaare season stats · Meistriliiga table and form
League. Meistriliiga has had over 2.5 goals in 67% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Kalju Nomme 16 of 32 (9 of 16 at home), Kuressaare 17 of 32 (8 of 16 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 57% and 59%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 58% and 59%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 60%.
Head to head. 11 meetings in 3 years, 55% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 60%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2 (Kalju Nomme) v 0.73 (Kuressaare) give 51%; 30% weight: 57%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.