Kuressaare have gone over 2.5 goals in 17 of 32 league games this season (53%) — 56% at home, 50% away. They've scored 34 and conceded 51, so their matches average 2.66 goals, and both teams have scored in 47% of them. Record: 10-5-17 in the Meistriliiga, where the division average is 64% over 2.5.
Full Kuressaare season view in the app →They are on the tighter end of the division: 53% over 2.5 against a league average of 64%, 11 points below it. That ranks them 9th of 10 for goals in their matches, 9th for scoring (1.06 a game) and 5th for goals conceded (1.59). They've kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 15 times in 32 games — the goals dry up more often than the back line holds.
Across 32 matches with half-time data, 56% of the goals in their games have come after the break (37 before, 48 after). Kuressaare themselves have scored 17 in first halves and 17 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 51 | 53% | 34% | 47% |
| Home | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 56% | 38% | 50% |
| Away | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 50% | 31% | 44% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 0–1 (6 times). Biggest win: 2–0 at home to Flora Tallinn (Sun 11 Oct). Heaviest defeat: 0–4 away at FC Levadia Tallinn. 6 of their 32 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 4 straight matches under 2.5 goals.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 38 league games last season Kuressaare's matches went over 2.5 goals 53% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 53% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.