Serie A (W) · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 17:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Como W vs AC Milan W (Serie A (W), Sunday, 1 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with Como W 34%, the draw 28% and AC Milan W 38%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | No |
| Como W win | 34% | |
| Draw | 28% | |
| AC Milan W win | 38% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | |
| Goal in both halves | 54% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como W | 3 | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| AC Milan W | 4 | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 36% | 32% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 43% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 54% | 53% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como W | 70% | 72% | 50 |
| AC Milan W | 66% | 86% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 70% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Como W season stats · AC Milan W season stats · Serie A (W) table and form
League. Serie A (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Como W 1 of 3 (0 of 2 at home), AC Milan W 4 of 4 (2 of 2 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 49% and 58%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 44% and 53%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 49%.
Head to head. 7 meetings in 3 years, 29% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 48%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.18 (Como W) v 1.27 (AC Milan W) give 44%; 30% weight: 47%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 48%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.