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AC Milan W — over 2.5 goals record & form (2025-2026)

AC Milan W have gone over 2.5 goals in 12 of 22 league games this season (55%) — 73% at home, 36% away. They've scored 31 and conceded 26, so their matches average 2.59 goals, and both teams have scored in 45% of them. Record: 9-5-8 in the Serie A (W), where the division average is 50% over 2.5.

Full AC Milan W season view in the app →

How AC Milan W's matches tend to go

Their games land close to the Serie A (W) norm for goals — 55% over 2.5 against a division average of 50%. That ranks them 4th of 12 for goals in their matches, 6th for scoring (1.41 a game) and 8th for goals conceded (1.18). They've kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in 22 games.

Across 22 matches with half-time data, 65% of the goals in their games have come after the break (20 before, 37 after). AC Milan W themselves have scored 11 in first halves and 20 in second — a distinctly second-half team.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall22958312655%27%45%
Home11533181573%36%64%
Away11425131136%18%27%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 0–1 (5 times). Biggest win: 3–0 away at Sassuolo W (Fri 3 Apr). Heaviest defeat: 1–5 at home to Inter Milano W. 3 of their 22 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches over 2.5 goals.

Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.

Against last season

In 26 league games last season AC Milan W's matches went over 2.5 goals 62% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 55% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.

Last 10 league games

Sun 18 Octat Roma W2–4O2.5
Sun 4 Octvs Juventus W2–1O2.5
Sat 26 Septat Como 1907 W1–4O2.5
Sun, 17 May 2026at Ternana W0–1U2.5
Sun, 10 May 2026vs Parma W3–1O2.5
Sat, 2 May 2026at Inter Milano W0–1U2.5
Sat, 25 Apr 2026vs Napoli W0–0U2.5
Fri, 3 Apr 2026at Sassuolo W3–0O2.5
Sun, 22 Mar 2026vs Como W0–0U2.5
Sun, 15 Mar 2026at Juventus W1–0U2.5

Upcoming

Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.