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Orange County SC — over 2.5 goals record & form (2026)

Orange County SC have gone over 2.5 goals in 14 of 29 league games this season (48%) — 40% at home, 57% away. They've scored 38 and conceded 47, so their matches average 2.93 goals, and both teams have scored in 62% of them. Record: 10-9-10 in the USL Championship, where the division average is 49% over 2.5.

Full Orange County SC season view in the app →

How Orange County SC's matches tend to go

Their games land close to the USL Championship norm for goals — 48% over 2.5 against a division average of 49%. That ranks them 14th of 25 for goals in their matches, 13th for scoring (1.31 a game) and 5th for goals conceded (1.62). They've kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in 29 games.

Across 29 matches with half-time data, 60% of the goals in their games have come after the break (34 before, 51 after). Orange County SC themselves have scored 13 in first halves and 25 in second — a distinctly second-half team.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall2910910384748%34%62%
Home15537162340%27%47%
Away14563222457%43%79%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 1–1 (6 times). Biggest win: 2–0 at home to El Paso Locomotive (Sun 2 Aug). Heaviest defeat: 0–6 away at Lexington. 7 of their 29 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches over 2.5 goals.

Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.

Against last season

In 32 league games last season Orange County SC's matches went over 2.5 goals 63% of the time. This season they're running tighter at 48%, down 14 points on 29 games.

Last 10 league games

Sun 18 Octvs Phoenix Rising1–3O2.5
Sun 11 Octat El Paso Locomotive1–2O2.5
Sun 4 Octvs Monterey Bay1–2O2.5
Sun 27 Septvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0U2.5
Sun 20 Septat Lexington0–6O2.5
Sun 13 Septvs Las Vegas Lights0–2U2.5
Sun 6 Septvs Sacramento Republic1–1U2.5
Sun 30 Augat Oakland Roots1–1U2.5
Sun 23 Augvs FC Tulsa1–5O2.5
Sun 16 Augvs Louisville City2–3O2.5

Upcoming

Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.