Sacramento Republic have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of 29 league games this season (31%) — 43% at home, 20% away. They've scored 39 and conceded 26, so their matches average 2.24 goals, and both teams have scored in 55% of them. Record: 12-12-5 in the USL Championship, where the division average is 49% over 2.5.
Full Sacramento Republic season view in the app →They are on the tighter end of the division: 31% over 2.5 against a league average of 49%, 18 points below it. That ranks them 24th of 25 for goals in their matches, 11th for scoring (1.34 a game) and 24th for goals conceded (0.90). They've kept 10 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in 29 games.
Across 29 matches with half-time data, 54% of the goals in their games have come after the break (30 before, 35 after). Sacramento Republic themselves have scored 15 in first halves and 24 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 39 | 26 | 31% | 21% | 55% |
| Home | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 43% | 29% | 50% |
| Away | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 20% | 13% | 60% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 1–1 (8 times). Biggest win: 5–0 at home to Sporting JAX (Sun 2 Aug). Heaviest defeat: 0–2 away at Phoenix Rising. 4 of their 29 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches under 2.5 goals. They are unbeaten in 12.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 31 league games last season Sacramento Republic's matches went over 2.5 goals 39% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 31% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.