Tukums have gone over 2.5 goals in 22 of 32 league games this season (69%) — 65% at home, 73% away. They've scored 44 and conceded 63, so their matches average 3.34 goals, and both teams have scored in 78% of them. Record: 5-9-18 in the Virsliga, where the division average is 55% over 2.5.
Full Tukums season view in the app →They are one of the division's more open sides: 69% of their games beat 2.5 goals, 14 points above the Virsliga average of 55%. That ranks them 2nd of 10 for goals in their matches, 5th for scoring (1.38 a game) and 2nd for goals conceded (1.97). They've kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 6 times in 32 games — the goals dry up more often than the back line holds.
Across 32 matches with half-time data, 51% of the goals in their games have come after the break (52 before, 55 after). Tukums themselves have scored 21 in first halves and 23 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 63 | 69% | 38% | 78% |
| Home | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 65% | 29% | 82% |
| Away | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 73% | 47% | 73% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 1–1 (6 times). Biggest win: 6–1 at home to Ogre United (Thu 7 May). Heaviest defeat: 1–4 at home to FS Jelgava. 7 of their 32 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches under 2.5 goals.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 36 league games last season Tukums's matches went over 2.5 goals 50% of the time. This season they're running hotter at 69%, up 19 points, though 32 games is a small sample to read much into.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.