Super Nova have gone over 2.5 goals in 17 of 33 league games this season (52%) — 56% at home, 47% away. They've scored 32 and conceded 47, so their matches average 2.39 goals, and both teams have scored in 55% of them. Record: 11-5-17 in the Virsliga, where the division average is 55% over 2.5.
Full Super Nova season view in the app →Their games land close to the Virsliga norm for goals — 52% over 2.5 against a division average of 55%. That ranks them 6th of 10 for goals in their matches, 9th for scoring (0.97 a game) and 5th for goals conceded (1.42). They've kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in 33 games.
Across 33 matches with half-time data, 48% of the goals in their games have come after the break (41 before, 38 after). Super Nova themselves have scored 16 in first halves and 16 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 47 | 52% | 12% | 55% |
| Home | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 56% | 19% | 69% |
| Away | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 47% | 6% | 41% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 1–2 (8 times). Biggest win: 2–0 at home to Grobiņa (Mon 20 Jul). Heaviest defeat: 0–4 away at Rīgas FS. 2 of their 33 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches over 2.5 goals.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 36 league games last season Super Nova's matches went over 2.5 goals 50% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 52% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.