Tallinna Kalev — over 2.5 goals record & form (2025-26)

Tallinna Kalev no longer play in the Meistriliiga. This page keeps their last full season there — 36 league games in 2025-26 — because the record is still the best guide to how their matches ran. Nothing below is from the current campaign.

Tallinna Kalev went over 2.5 goals in 27 of 36 league games that season (75%) — 78% at home, 72% away. They scored 32 and conceded 113, so their matches averaged 4.03 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them. Record: 5-2-29 in the Meistriliiga.

Full Tallinna Kalev season view in the app →

How Tallinna Kalev's matches tend to go

They are one of the division's more open sides: 75% of their games beat 2.5 goals, 9 points above the Meistriliiga average of 66%. That ranks them 0th of 10 for goals in their matches, 0th for scoring (0.89 a game) and 0th for goals conceded (3.14). They've kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 17 times in 36 games — the goals dry up more often than the back line holds.

Across 36 matches with half-time data, 57% of the goals in their games have come after the break (63 before, 82 after). Tallinna Kalev themselves have scored 12 in first halves and 20 in second — a distinctly second-half team.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall3652293211375%61%50%
Home185013195278%56%50%
Away180216136172%67%50%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 0–2 (5 times). Biggest win: 4–1 at home to Kuressaare (Sat 5 Apr). Heaviest defeat: 0–9 at home to FC Levadia Tallinn. 12 of their 36 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches over 2.5 goals.

Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.

Against last season

In 36 league games last season Tallinna Kalev's matches went over 2.5 goals 75% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 75% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.

Last 10 league games

Sat, 8 Nov 2025vs Kuressaare2–1O2.5
Sun, 2 Nov 2025at Laagri1–4O2.5
Sat, 25 Oct 2025at Tammeka2–5O2.5
Wed, 22 Oct 2025vs Kalju Nomme0–2U2.5
Sat, 18 Oct 2025at Flora Tallinn0–6O2.5
Sat, 4 Oct 2025vs Trans Narva1–3O2.5
Sun, 28 Sept 2025at FC Levadia Tallinn1–3O2.5
Sun, 21 Sept 2025at Vaprus0–1U2.5
Wed, 17 Sept 2025vs Paide0–3O2.5
Sun, 14 Sept 2025at Kuressaare1–2O2.5