NK Varazdin have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 league games this season (40%) — 20% at home, 60% away. They've scored 14 and conceded 8, so their matches average 2.20 goals, and both teams have scored in 40% of them. Record: 5-3-2 in the HNL, where the division average is 63% over 2.5.
Full NK Varazdin season view in the app →They are on the tighter end of the division: 40% over 2.5 against a league average of 63%, 23 points below it. That ranks them 9th of 10 for goals in their matches, 6th for scoring (1.40 a game) and 10th for goals conceded (0.80). They've kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in 10 games.
Across 10 matches with half-time data, 68% of the goals in their games have come after the break (7 before, 15 after). NK Varazdin themselves have scored 7 in first halves and 7 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Home | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| Away | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 60% | 60% | 60% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 0–0 (2 times). Biggest win: 4–1 away at NK Slaven Belupo (Sun 9 Aug). Heaviest defeat: 1–3 away at Dinamo Zagreb. 1 of their 10 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches under 2.5 goals.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 36 league games last season NK Varazdin's matches went over 2.5 goals 47% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 40% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.