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HNK Rijeka — over 2.5 goals record & form (2026-2027)

HNK Rijeka have gone over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 league games this season (67%) — 100% at home, 40% away. They've scored 16 and conceded 12, so their matches average 3.11 goals, and both teams have scored in 67% of them. Record: 5-2-2 in the HNL, where the division average is 63% over 2.5.

Full HNK Rijeka season view in the app →

How HNK Rijeka's matches tend to go

Their games land close to the HNL norm for goals — 67% over 2.5 against a division average of 63%. That ranks them 6th of 10 for goals in their matches, 4th for scoring (1.78 a game) and 8th for goals conceded (1.33). They've kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in 9 games.

Across 9 matches with half-time data, 50% of the goals in their games have come after the break (14 before, 14 after). HNK Rijeka themselves have scored 10 in first halves and 6 in second — they do their damage early.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall9522161267%33%67%
Home4400124100%50%75%
Away51224840%20%60%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 2–1 (2 times). Biggest win: 3–0 at home to HNK Hajduk Split (Sun 20 Sept). Heaviest defeat: 1–4 away at NK Slaven Belupo. 3 of their 9 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 3 straight matches over 2.5 goals.

Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.

Against last season

In 36 league games last season HNK Rijeka's matches went over 2.5 goals 42% of the time. This season they're running hotter at 67%, up 25 points, though 9 games is a small sample to read much into.

Last 10 league games

Fri 16 Octat Rudes2–1O2.5
Sun 11 Octat NK Slaven Belupo1–4O2.5
Sun 20 Septvs HNK Hajduk Split3–0O2.5
Sat 12 Septat NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1U2.5
Sat 5 Septvs NK Osijek4–1O2.5
Mon 31 Augat HNK Gorica0–0U2.5
Sun 23 Augvs Istra 19613–2O2.5
Sun 16 Augat NK Varazdin0–2U2.5
Sun 2 Augvs Rudes2–1O2.5
Sat, 23 May 2026vs HNK Gorica2–0U2.5

Upcoming

Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.