Ratings updated 12:09 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Virsliga · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 11:00 UK

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

74%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

74%Super Nova, league games

62%BFC Daugavpils, league games

76%league

51%Under 2.5 goals· close call

47%Super Nova, league games

59%BFC Daugavpils, league games

46%league

27%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

12%Super Nova, league games

24%BFC Daugavpils, league games

35%league

53%Both teams to score: Yes· close call

53%Super Nova, league games

53%BFC Daugavpils, league games

56%league

43%BFC Daugavpils win· close call

28%Super Nova

28%Draw

43%BFC Daugavpils

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Super Nova 28%, the draw 28% and BFC Daugavpils 43%.

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Form this season

Super Nova

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (34)53%

Home (17)59%

Away (17)47%

Home games (17)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.0	1.7

Won 4 · drew 3 · lost 10 · both scored in 65%

BFC Daugavpils

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (34)41%

Home (17)41%

Away (17)41%

Away games (17)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.2	1.4

Won 4 · drew 7 · lost 6 · both scored in 65%

Latest results

Super Nova

25 OctHRīgas FS VirslL0–3

18 OctARiga VirslL2–1

15 OctARīgas FS VirslL4–0

10 OctHGrobiņa VirslW2–1

20 SeptAOgre United VirslL1–0

15 SeptHRiga VirslL0–1

BFC Daugavpils

25 OctAFS Jelgava VirslW0–1

19 OctHAuda VirslW2–1

11 OctAOgre United VirslW1–2

19 SeptAFK Liepaja VirslD0–0

13 SeptHRīgas FS VirslL1–2

7 SeptARiga VirslD1–1

First and second half

	This game	Super Nova	BFC Daugavpils	League
Goal in the 1st half	66%	64%	52%	72%
Goal in the 2nd half	82%	82%	84%	82%
Goal in both halves	54%	54%	46%	60%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Super Nova: last 50 games, BFC Daugavpils: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

22 Aug 26Super Nova 0–0 BFC DaugavpilsU2.5

16 Jun 26BFC Daugavpils 0–0 Super NovaU2.5

27 Apr 26BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Super NovaU2.5

25 Oct 25BFC Daugavpils 2–2 Super NovaO2.5

2 Aug 25Super Nova 1–1 BFC DaugavpilsU2.5

1 Jun 25Super Nova 4–1 BFC DaugavpilsO2.5

More: Super Nova season stats · BFC Daugavpils season stats · Virsliga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.