Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
MLS · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 00:00 UK
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes: prediction and stats
82%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
78%Minnesota United FC, league games
81%San Jose Earthquakes, league games
81%league
Minnesota United FC Over 1.5 in 8 straight at home
San Jose Earthquakes Over 1.5 in 5 straight away
60%Over 2.5 goals· likely
66%Minnesota United FC, league games
56%San Jose Earthquakes, league games
62%league
Minnesota United FC Over 2.5 in 7 straight at home
39%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
47%Minnesota United FC, league games
47%San Jose Earthquakes, league games
39%league
Minnesota United FC Over 3.5 in 4 straight at home
62%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
72%Minnesota United FC, league games
66%San Jose Earthquakes, league games
63%league
Minnesota United FC BTTS (GG) in 8 straight at home
47%Minnesota United FC win· close call
47%Minnesota United FC
25%Draw
28%San Jose Earthquakes
The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes (MLS, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with Minnesota United FC 47%, the draw 25% and San Jose Earthquakes 28%.
Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).
This game = our chance. Minnesota United FC: last 50 games, San Jose Earthquakes: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.
Head to head
23 Aug 26San Jose Earthquakes 1–5 Minnesota United FCO2.5
13 Jul 25Minnesota United FC 4–1 San Jose EarthquakesO2.5
9 Mar 25San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Minnesota United FCU2.5
1 Sept 24San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Minnesota United FCO2.5
21 Jul 24Minnesota United FC 2–0 San Jose EarthquakesU2.5
1 Oct 23Minnesota United FC 1–1 San Jose EarthquakesU2.5
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.