Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
MLS · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 00:00 UK

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes: prediction and stats

82%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
78%Minnesota United FC, league games
81%San Jose Earthquakes, league games
81%league
Minnesota United FC Over 1.5 in 8 straight at home
San Jose Earthquakes Over 1.5 in 5 straight away
60%Over 2.5 goals· likely
66%Minnesota United FC, league games
56%San Jose Earthquakes, league games
62%league
Minnesota United FC Over 2.5 in 7 straight at home
39%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
47%Minnesota United FC, league games
47%San Jose Earthquakes, league games
39%league
Minnesota United FC Over 3.5 in 4 straight at home
62%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
72%Minnesota United FC, league games
66%San Jose Earthquakes, league games
63%league
Minnesota United FC BTTS (GG) in 8 straight at home
47%Minnesota United FC win· close call
47%Minnesota United FC
25%Draw
28%San Jose Earthquakes

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes (MLS, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with Minnesota United FC 47%, the draw 25% and San Jose Earthquakes 28%.

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Form this season

Minnesota United FC

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (32)66%
Home (16)50%
Away (16)81%
Home games (16)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.41.3
Won 4 · drew 7 · lost 5 · both scored in 63%

San Jose Earthquakes

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (32)56%
Home (16)63%
Away (16)50%
Away games (16)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.61.4
Won 7 · drew 5 · lost 4 · both scored in 69%

Latest results

Minnesota United FC

29 OctHSporting Kansas City MLSW3–1
25 OctAHouston Dynamo MLSD0–0
17 OctHSt. Louis City MLSW3–2
15 OctAColorado Rapids MLSD2–2
11 OctHHouston Dynamo MLSD2–2
27 SeptASeattle Sounders MLSL3–1

San Jose Earthquakes

29 OctHColorado Rapids MLSD2–2
25 OctAFC Dallas MLSL3–0
18 OctHNashville SC MLSD1–1
15 OctAReal Salt Lake MLSD1–1
11 OctAColorado Rapids MLSD1–1
27 SeptHPortland Timbers MLSW3–1

First and second half

This gameMinnesota United FCSan Jose EarthquakesLeague
Goal in the 1st half77%72%80%77%
Goal in the 2nd half81%82%82%81%
Goal in both halves63%62%64%64%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. Minnesota United FC: last 50 games, San Jose Earthquakes: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

23 Aug 26San Jose Earthquakes 1–5 Minnesota United FCO2.5
13 Jul 25Minnesota United FC 4–1 San Jose EarthquakesO2.5
9 Mar 25San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Minnesota United FCU2.5
1 Sept 24San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Minnesota United FCO2.5
21 Jul 24Minnesota United FC 2–0 San Jose EarthquakesU2.5
1 Oct 23Minnesota United FC 1–1 San Jose EarthquakesU2.5

More: Minnesota United FC season stats · San Jose Earthquakes season stats · MLS table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.