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Minnesota United FC — over 2.5 goals record & form (2026)

Minnesota United FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 20 of 30 league games this season (67%) — 47% at home, 87% away. They've scored 47 and conceded 55, so their matches average 3.40 goals, and both teams have scored in 73% of them. Record: 8-10-12 in the MLS, where the division average is 64% over 2.5.

Full Minnesota United FC season view in the app →

How Minnesota United FC's matches tend to go

Their games land close to the MLS norm for goals — 67% over 2.5 against a division average of 64%. That ranks them 16th of 30 for goals in their matches, 15th for scoring (1.57 a game) and 10th for goals conceded (1.83). They've kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in 30 games.

Across 30 matches with half-time data, 54% of the goals in their games have come after the break (47 before, 55 after). Minnesota United FC themselves have scored 16 in first halves and 31 in second — a distinctly second-half team.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall3081012475567%47%73%
Home15375192047%33%60%
Away15537283587%60%87%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 2–2 (4 times). Biggest win: 5–1 away at San Jose Earthquakes (Sun 23 Aug). Heaviest defeat: 0–6 away at Vancouver Whitecaps. 8 of their 30 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 11 straight matches over 2.5 goals.

Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.

Against last season

In 38 league games last season Minnesota United FC's matches went over 2.5 goals 58% of the time. This season they're running hotter at 67%, up 9 points, though 30 games is a small sample to read much into.

Last 10 league games

Sat 17 Octvs St. Louis City3–2O2.5
Thu 15 Octat Colorado Rapids2–2O2.5
Sun 11 Octvs Houston Dynamo2–2O2.5
Sun 27 Septat Seattle Sounders1–3O2.5
Sun 20 Septvs Los Angeles Galaxy2–3O2.5
Sun 13 Septat St. Louis City2–4O2.5
Thu 10 Septvs FC Dallas1–2O2.5
Sun 6 Septat Portland Timbers4–5O2.5
Sun 30 Augvs Orlando City SC3–3O2.5
Sun 23 Augat San Jose Earthquakes5–1O2.5

Upcoming

Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.