Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Premijer Liga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 16:00 UK

Velež vs Čelik: prediction and stats

67%Over 1.5 goals· likely
80%Velež, league games
73%Čelik, league games
61%league
59%Under 2.5 goals· likely
60%Velež, league games
45%Čelik, league games
59%league
20%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
30%Velež, league games
18%Čelik, league games
22%league
59%Both teams to score: No· likely
60%Velež, league games
55%Čelik, league games
60%league
51%Velež win· close call
51%Velež
31%Draw
19%Čelik

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Velež vs Čelik (Premijer Liga, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 41% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with Velež 51%, the draw 31% and Čelik 19%.

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Form this season

Velež

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)40%
Home (5)20%
Away (5)60%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.20.8
Won 2 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 40%

Čelik

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (11)55%
Home (5)80%
Away (6)33%
Away games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.71.3
Won 0 · drew 3 · lost 3 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

Velež

25 OctHBSK Banja Luka PremiL2–3
9 OctHSiroki Brijeg PremiD0–0
19 SeptAZrinjski PremiL2–0
13 SeptHFK Sarajevo PremiW1–0
6 SeptAZeljeznicar Sarajevo PremiL3–1
2 SeptHRadnik Bijeljina PremiD1–1

Čelik

24 OctASiroki Brijeg PremiD0–0
18 OctHZrinjski PremiL0–3
11 OctHFK Sarajevo PremiD0–0
18 SeptAZeljeznicar Sarajevo PremiD1–1
11 SeptHRadnik Bijeljina PremiW3–2
5 SeptABSK Banja Luka PremiL3–2

First and second half

This gameVeležČelikLeague
Goal in the 1st half59%54%64%59%
Goal in the 2nd half74%76%82%71%
Goal in both halves46%42%59%42%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Velež: last 50 games, Čelik: last 39 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

28 Aug 26Čelik 3–0 VeležO2.5

More: Velež season stats · Čelik season stats · Premijer Liga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.