Velež have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of 9 league games this season (33%) — 0% at home, 60% away. They've scored 6 and conceded 14, so their matches average 2.22 goals, and both teams have scored in 33% of them. Record: 2-2-5 in the Premijer Liga, where the division average is 43% over 2.5.
Full Velež season view in the app →They are on the tighter end of the division: 33% over 2.5 against a league average of 43%, 10 points below it. That ranks them 7th of 10 for goals in their matches, 10th for scoring (0.67 a game) and 3rd for goals conceded (1.56). They've kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in 9 games.
Across 9 matches with half-time data, 55% of the goals in their games have come after the break (9 before, 11 after). Velež themselves have scored 1 in first halves and 5 in second — a distinctly second-half team.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 33% | 22% | 33% |
| Home | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| Away | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 60% | 40% | 40% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 0–2 (2 times). Biggest win: 2–0 at home to Sloga Doboj (Sat 22 Aug). Heaviest defeat: 0–3 away at Čelik. Current run: 3 straight matches under 2.5 goals.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 36 league games last season Velež's matches went over 2.5 goals 36% of the time. This season is tracking it closely at 33% — consistent goal patterns across two campaigns.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.