Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
J2 League · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 05:00 UK

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama: prediction and stats

71%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
69%Sagan Tosu, league games
77%Kataller Toyama, league games
68%league
Kataller Toyama Over 1.5 in 3 straight away
55%Under 2.5 goals· likely
62%Sagan Tosu, league games
54%Kataller Toyama, league games
53%league
26%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
23%Sagan Tosu, league games
31%Kataller Toyama, league games
27%league
50%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
38%Sagan Tosu, league games
38%Kataller Toyama, league games
53%league
36%Sagan Tosu win· close call
36%Sagan Tosu
30%Draw
34%Kataller Toyama

The model reads goals, not team news.

Was this page useful?

CompactStats rates Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama (J2 League, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 45% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Sagan Tosu 36%, the draw 30% and Kataller Toyama 34%.

Open this match in the app →

In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, filters by league, cup and venue, and a slip you can share.

Form this season

Sagan Tosu

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (13)38%
Home (7)43%
Away (6)33%
Home games (7)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.61.0
Won 5 · drew 0 · lost 2 · both scored in 43%

Kataller Toyama

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (13)46%
Home (7)43%
Away (6)50%
Away games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.00.5
Won 5 · drew 0 · lost 1 · both scored in 17%

Latest results

Sagan Tosu

25 OctHVanraure Hachinohe J2 LeW2–0
21 OctAAlbirex Niigata J2 LeL2–1
17 OctHOmiya Ardija J2 LeW2–1
10 OctHFujieda MYFC J2 LeW1–0
4 OctABlaublitz Akita J2 LeL1–0
26 SeptAMontedio Yamagata J2 LeL2–0

Kataller Toyama

25 OctHConsadole Sapporo J2 LeL0–1
21 OctAOmiya Ardija J2 LeW0–3
17 OctHShonan Bellmare J2 LeD1–1
11 OctHTegevajaro Miyazaki J2 LeD1–1
3 OctAVentforet Kofu J2 LeW1–2
26 SeptHYokohama FC J2 LeD3–3

First and second half

This gameSagan TosuKataller ToyamaLeague
Goal in the 1st half68%70%68%67%
Goal in the 2nd half75%72%78%76%
Goal in both halves53%52%54%52%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Sagan Tosu: last 50 games, Kataller Toyama: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

9 Nov 25Kataller Toyama 3–1 Sagan TosuO2.5
23 Mar 25Sagan Tosu 1–0 Kataller ToyamaU2.5

More: Sagan Tosu season stats · Kataller Toyama season stats · J2 League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.