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Sagan Tosu — over 2.5 goals record & form (2026)

Sagan Tosu have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of 11 league games this season (36%) — 50% at home, 20% away. They've scored 11 and conceded 13, so their matches average 2.18 goals, and both teams have scored in 36% of them. Record: 4-2-5 in the J2 League, where the division average is 48% over 2.5.

Full Sagan Tosu season view in the app →

How Sagan Tosu's matches tend to go

They are on the tighter end of the division: 36% over 2.5 against a league average of 48%, 12 points below it. That ranks them 16th of 20 for goals in their matches, 16th for scoring (1.00 a game) and 11th for goals conceded (1.18). They've kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in 11 games.

Across 11 matches with half-time data, 71% of the goals in their games have come after the break (7 before, 17 after). Sagan Tosu themselves have scored 4 in first halves and 7 in second — a distinctly second-half team.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall11425111336%27%36%
Home64029750%33%50%
Away50232620%20%20%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 0–1 (2 times). Biggest win: 2–0 at home to Tegevajaro Miyazaki (Sat 5 Sept). Heaviest defeat: 0–2 away at Montedio Yamagata.

Against last season

In 38 league games last season Sagan Tosu's matches went over 2.5 goals 45% of the time. This season they're running tighter at 36%, down 8 points on 11 games.

Last 10 league games

Sat 17 Octvs Omiya Ardija2–1O2.5
Sat 10 Octvs Fujieda MYFC1–0U2.5
Sun 4 Octat Blaublitz Akita0–1U2.5
Sat 26 Septat Montedio Yamagata0–2U2.5
Sat 19 Septvs Iwaki1–3O2.5
Sat 12 Septat Imabari0–1U2.5
Sat 5 Septvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0U2.5
Sat 29 Augat Yokohama FC2–2O2.5
Sat 22 Augvs Tochigi City1–3O2.5
Sun 16 Augat Tokushima Vortis0–0U2.5

Upcoming

Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.