Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
MLS · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 21:00 UK
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC: prediction and stats
82%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
84%New York Red Bulls, league games
84%Atlanta United FC, league games
81%league
New York Red Bulls Over 1.5 in 6 straight at home
61%Over 2.5 goals· likely
56%New York Red Bulls, league games
66%Atlanta United FC, league games
62%league
Atlanta United FC Over 2.5 in 6 consecutive matches (all venues)
38%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
38%New York Red Bulls, league games
41%Atlanta United FC, league games
39%league
62%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
59%New York Red Bulls, league games
66%Atlanta United FC, league games
63%league
53%New York Red Bulls win· close call
53%New York Red Bulls
23%Draw
24%Atlanta United FC
The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC (MLS, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with New York Red Bulls 53%, the draw 23% and Atlanta United FC 24%.
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.