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Atlanta United FC — over 2.5 goals record & form (2026)

Atlanta United FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 19 of 30 league games this season (63%) — 80% at home, 47% away. They've scored 37 and conceded 51, so their matches average 2.93 goals, and both teams have scored in 63% of them. Record: 8-6-16 in the MLS, where the division average is 64% over 2.5.

Full Atlanta United FC season view in the app →

How Atlanta United FC's matches tend to go

Their games land close to the MLS norm for goals — 63% over 2.5 against a division average of 64%. That ranks them 18th of 30 for goals in their matches, 28th for scoring (1.23 a game) and 13th for goals conceded (1.70). They've kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in 30 games — the goals dry up more often than the back line holds.

Across 30 matches with half-time data, 60% of the goals in their games have come after the break (35 before, 53 after). Atlanta United FC themselves have scored 15 in first halves and 22 in second.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall308616375163%40%63%
Home15429212980%53%80%
Away15447162247%27%47%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 0–2 (5 times). Biggest win: 3–0 away at CF Montreal (Thu 15 Oct). Heaviest defeat: 1–4 away at New England Revolution. 4 of their 30 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 4 straight matches over 2.5 goals.

Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.

Against last season

In 34 league games last season Atlanta United FC's matches went over 2.5 goals 50% of the time. This season they're running hotter at 63%, up 13 points, though 30 games is a small sample to read much into.

Last 10 league games

Sun 18 Octvs Inter Miami1–3O2.5
Thu 15 Octat CF Montreal3–0O2.5
Sun 11 Octvs FC Cincinnati1–3O2.5
Sun 27 Septvs New York City FC2–2O2.5
Sun 20 Septat Portland Timbers1–0U2.5
Sun 13 Septat DC United0–0U2.5
Thu 10 Septvs Orlando City SC2–3O2.5
Sun 6 Septat Inter Miami2–2O2.5
Sun 30 Augvs Charlotte0–2U2.5
Mon 24 Augvs Sporting Kansas City2–1O2.5

Upcoming

Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.