Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
2. Bundesliga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 12:00 UK
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats
78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
67%Holstein Kiel, league games
80%Arminia Bielefeld, league games
79%league
54%Over 2.5 goals· close call
44%Holstein Kiel, league games
80%Arminia Bielefeld, league games
60%league
32%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
33%Holstein Kiel, league games
40%Arminia Bielefeld, league games
34%league
56%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
44%Holstein Kiel, league games
70%Arminia Bielefeld, league games
60%league
52%Holstein Kiel win· close call
52%Holstein Kiel
26%Draw
21%Arminia Bielefeld
The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld (2. Bundesliga, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Holstein Kiel 52%, the draw 26% and Arminia Bielefeld 21%.
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.