Holstein Kiel have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 league games this season (38%) — 50% at home, 25% away. They've scored 7 and conceded 11, so their matches average 2.25 goals, and both teams have scored in 50% of them. Record: 0-5-3 in the 2. Bundesliga, where the division average is 58% over 2.5.
Full Holstein Kiel season view in the app →They are on the tighter end of the division: 38% over 2.5 against a league average of 58%, 21 points below it. That ranks them 17th of 18 for goals in their matches, 17th for scoring (0.88 a game) and 14th for goals conceded (1.38). They've kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in 8 games — the goals dry up more often than the back line holds.
Across 8 matches with half-time data, 56% of the goals in their games have come after the break (8 before, 10 after). Holstein Kiel themselves have scored 4 in first halves and 3 in second.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 38% | 38% | 50% |
| Home | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 50% | 75% |
| Away | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 2–2 (3 times). Heaviest defeat: 0–2 away at 1. FC Magdeburg. Current run: 4 straight matches under 2.5 goals.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 34 league games last season Holstein Kiel's matches went over 2.5 goals 53% of the time. This season they're running tighter at 38%, down 15 points on 8 games.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.