Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
La Liga · Friday, 6 November 2026 · 20:00 UK

Sevilla vs Alaves: prediction and stats

76%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
80%Sevilla, league games
70%Alaves, league games
78%league
52%Over 2.5 goals· close call
60%Sevilla, league games
50%Alaves, league games
54%league
28%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
50%Sevilla, league games
10%Alaves, league games
31%league
58%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
70%Sevilla, league games
60%Alaves, league games
58%league
41%Sevilla win· close call
41%Sevilla
28%Draw
31%Alaves

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Sevilla vs Alaves (La Liga, Friday, 6 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with Sevilla 41%, the draw 28% and Alaves 31%.

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Form this season

Sevilla

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)60%
Home (5)60%
Away (5)60%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.41.4
Won 3 · drew 0 · lost 2 · both scored in 60%

Alaves

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)50%
Home (6)50%
Away (4)50%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.81.3
Won 0 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 75%

Latest results

Sevilla

29 OctAHortaleza CopaW0–3
26 OctHOsasuna LaLigaW2–0
18 OctAReal Madrid LaLigaL4–1
12 OctALevante LaLigaD3–3
19 SeptHBarcelona LaLigaL1–3
16 SeptADeportivo La Coruna LaLigaW0–1

Alaves

23 OctHMalaga LaLigaD1–1
18 OctACelta Vigo LaLigaL2–1
10 OctHAtletico Madrid LaLigaL1–2
19 SeptAAthletic Club LaLigaD0–0
15 SeptHValencia LaLigaL0–1
12 SeptARacing Santander LaLigaL2–1

First and second half

This gameSevillaAlavesLeague
Goal in the 1st half67%68%60%69%
Goal in the 2nd half84%90%84%82%
Goal in both halves54%58%48%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 48% this game (league: 2nd half 49%).

This game = our chance. Sevilla: last 50 games, Alaves: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

14 Feb 26Sevilla 1–1 AlavesU2.5
17 Dec 25Alaves 1–0 SevillaU2.5
20 Sept 25Alaves 1–2 SevillaO2.5
20 Apr 25Sevilla 1–1 AlavesU2.5
20 Sept 24Alaves 2–1 SevillaO2.5
12 Jan 24Sevilla 2–3 AlavesO2.5

More: Sevilla season stats · Alaves season stats · La Liga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.