Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Cymru Premier · Friday, 6 November 2026 · 19:45 UK

Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

69%Penybont, league games

93%Caernarfon Town, league games

78%league

Caernarfon Town Over 1.5 in 10 straight away

55%Over 2.5 goals· likely

62%Penybont, league games

80%Caernarfon Town, league games

58%league

Caernarfon Town Over 2.5 in 3 straight away

35%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

31%Penybont, league games

47%Caernarfon Town, league games

39%league

55%Both teams to score: Yes· likely

62%Penybont, league games

67%Caernarfon Town, league games

52%league

Caernarfon Town BTTS (GG) in 4 straight away

38%Caernarfon Town win· close call

36%Penybont

27%Draw

38%Caernarfon Town

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Penybont vs Caernarfon Town (Cymru Premier, Friday, 6 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with Penybont 36%, the draw 27% and Caernarfon Town 38%.

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Form this season

Penybont

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (13)62%

Home (7)57%

Away (6)67%

Home games (7)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.7	0.9

Won 5 · drew 2 · lost 0 · both scored in 71%

Caernarfon Town

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (15)80%

Home (7)86%

Away (8)75%

Away games (8)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	2.6	1.4

Won 5 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 75%

Latest results

Penybont

9 OctHBarry Town CymruW3–1

3 OctAGAP Connah S Quay FC CymruL1–0

26 SeptHAirbus UK CymruW2–1

18 SeptAAmmanford AFC CymruW1–5

15 SeptHBriton Ferry CymruW3–2

11 SeptATrefelin CymruW0–1

Caernarfon Town

30 OctAAirbus UK CymruL3–2

23 OctHBriton Ferry CymruW3–1

9 OctAHaverfordwest County AFC CymruW1–2

3 OctHBarry Town CymruL0–1

26 SeptACardiff MET CymruD2–2

18 SeptHCambrian & Clydach CymruW9–1

First and second half

	This game	Penybont	Caernarfon Town	League
Goal in the 1st half	75%	66%	84%	75%
Goal in the 2nd half	77%	70%	86%	77%
Goal in both halves	60%	50%	72%	59%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Penybont: last 50 games, Caernarfon Town: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

7 Aug 26Caernarfon Town 1–2 PenybontO2.5

18 Apr 26Caernarfon Town 2–0 PenybontU2.5

24 Jan 26Penybont 0–0 Caernarfon TownU2.5

25 Oct 25Penybont 0–2 Caernarfon TownU2.5

20 Sept 25Caernarfon Town 1–2 PenybontO2.5

13 Apr 25Penybont 3–1 Caernarfon TownO2.5

Things worth knowing

Penybont return after about 4 weeks off; form streaks reset over long breaks.

More: Penybont season stats · Caernarfon Town season stats · Cymru Premier table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.