Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Primeira Liga · Friday, 6 November 2026 · 20:45 UK

Famalicao vs Arouca: prediction and stats

76%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
78%Famalicao, league games
56%Arouca, league games
75%league
52%Over 2.5 goals· close call
56%Famalicao, league games
44%Arouca, league games
57%league
31%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
44%Famalicao, league games
22%Arouca, league games
34%league
50%Both teams to score: No· close call
44%Famalicao, league games
67%Arouca, league games
50%league
44%Famalicao win· close call
44%Famalicao
28%Draw
28%Arouca

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Famalicao vs Arouca (Primeira Liga, Friday, 6 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Famalicao 44%, the draw 28% and Arouca 28%.

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Form this season

Famalicao

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)56%
Home (4)50%
Away (5)60%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.81.8
Won 0 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 75%

Arouca

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)44%
Home (4)75%
Away (5)20%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.80.8
Won 2 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 20%

Latest results

Famalicao

25 OctARio Ave PrimW0–4
18 OctAParedes TaçaL1–0
12 OctHAlverca PrimL1–4
19 SeptANacional PrimW0–4
13 SeptHSporting CP PrimD1–1
5 SeptAEstrela PrimD2–2

Arouca

24 OctAAlverca PrimW0–1
18 OctACF Os Belenenses TaçaD3–3
11 OctHEstrela PrimW1–0
19 SeptASporting CP PrimD2–2
13 SeptHSanta Clara PrimL1–2
7 SeptAEstoril PrimD0–0

First and second half

This gameFamalicaoAroucaLeague
Goal in the 1st half67%60%68%70%
Goal in the 2nd half79%80%80%79%
Goal in both halves53%50%54%55%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Famalicao: last 50 games, Arouca: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

6 Mar 26Famalicao 1–0 AroucaU2.5
5 Oct 25Arouca 1–1 FamalicaoU2.5
5 Apr 25Arouca 1–2 FamalicaoO2.5
9 Nov 24Famalicao 0–0 AroucaU2.5
23 Feb 24Arouca 3–2 FamalicaoO2.5
22 Sept 23Famalicao 1–0 AroucaU2.5

More: Famalicao season stats · Arouca season stats · Primeira Liga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.