Ratings updated 08:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Serie A · Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 00:30 UK

Botafogo vs Atletico-MG: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSW/D/L

74%Over 1.5 goals· our call

79%Botafogo, league games

70%Atletico-MG, league games

75%league

Atletico-MG Over 1.5 in 6 straight away

51%Under 2.5 goals· our call

45%Botafogo, league games

56%Atletico-MG, league games

51%league

27%Over 3.5 goals· no pick: under our 45% bar

26%Botafogo, league games

28%Atletico-MG, league games

25%league

53%Both teams to score: Yes· our call

57%Botafogo, league games

56%Atletico-MG, league games

54%league

46%Botafogo win· most likely result

46%Botafogo

26%Draw

28%Atletico-MG

The model reads goals, not team news.

CompactStats rates Botafogo vs Atletico-MG (Serie A, Thursday, 5 November 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Botafogo 46%, the draw 26% and Atletico-MG 28%.

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Form this season

Botafogo

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (42)55%

Home (22)59%

Away (20)50%

Home games (22)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.5	1.2

Won 9 · drew 7 · lost 6 · both scored in 59%

Atletico-MG

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (43)44%

Home (21)48%

Away (22)41%

Away games (22)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.3	1.2

Won 6 · drew 6 · lost 10 · both scored in 45%

Latest results

Botafogo

24 OctAInternacional SerAL3–0

17 OctHChapecoense-sc SerAW1–0

12 OctACoritiba SerAD1–1

8 OctHVasco DA Gama SerAL1–2

19 SeptAMirassol SerAL2–0

16 SeptHGremio SerAW3–2

Atletico-MG

26 OctAFlamengo SerAL3–2

21 OctAAtletico Torque SudamL2–0

17 OctHCoritiba SerAW1–0

14 OctHAtletico Torque SudamW3–0

11 OctHSantos SerAW2–1

9 OctAAtletico Paranaense SerAD2–2

First and second half

	This game	Botafogo	Atletico-MG	League
Goal in the 1st half	72%	82%	62%	72%
Goal in the 2nd half	77%	76%	80%	77%
Goal in both halves	56%	64%	48%	56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Botafogo: last 50 games, Atletico-MG: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

10 May 26Atletico-MG 1–1 BotafogoU2.5

20 Sept 25Botafogo 1–0 Atletico-MGU2.5

20 Apr 25Atletico-MG 1–0 BotafogoU2.5

30 Nov 24Atletico-MG 1–3 BotafogoO2.5

21 Nov 24Atletico-MG 0–0 BotafogoU2.5

8 Jul 24Botafogo 3–0 Atletico-MGO2.5

More: Botafogo season stats · Atletico-MG season stats · Serie A table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.

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