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Atletico-MG — over 2.5 goals record & form (2026)

Atletico-MG have gone over 2.5 goals in 15 of 31 league games this season (48%) — 56% at home, 40% away. They've scored 42 and conceded 35, so their matches average 2.48 goals, and both teams have scored in 48% of them. Record: 14-8-9 in the Serie A, where the division average is 51% over 2.5.

Full Atletico-MG season view in the app →

How Atletico-MG's matches tend to go

Their games land close to the Serie A norm for goals — 48% over 2.5 against a division average of 51%. That ranks them 12th of 20 for goals in their matches, 9th for scoring (1.35 a game) and 17th for goals conceded (1.13). They've kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in 31 games.

Across 31 matches with half-time data, 58% of the goals in their games have come after the break (32 before, 45 after). Atletico-MG themselves have scored 19 in first halves and 23 in second.

Season splits

PWDLGFGAO2.5O3.5BTTS
Overall311489423548%29%48%
Home161051271756%31%63%
Away15438151840%27%33%

Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.

Scorelines and margins

Their most common result this season is 1–0 (5 times). Biggest win: 4–0 away at Chapecoense-sc (Thu 2 Apr). Heaviest defeat: 0–4 at home to Flamengo. 1 of their 31 games have produced five goals or more. They are unbeaten in 6.

Against last season

In 38 league games last season Atletico-MG's matches went over 2.5 goals 39% of the time. This season they're running hotter at 48%, up 9 points, though 31 games is a small sample to read much into.

Last 10 league games

Sat 17 Octvs Coritiba1–0U2.5
Sun 11 Octvs Santos2–1O2.5
Fri 9 Octat Atletico Paranaense2–2O2.5
Sat 3 Octvs RB Bragantino1–0U2.5
Sat 19 Septvs Chapecoense-sc1–1U2.5
Sat 12 Septvs Fluminense3–1O2.5
Sat 5 Septat Sao Paulo0–2U2.5
Sat 29 Augvs Vitoria2–1O2.5
Sat 22 Augat Internacional0–0U2.5
Sun 16 Augvs Gremio3–0O2.5

Upcoming

Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.