PSL · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 17:30 UK time
CompactStats rates TS Galaxy vs Durban City (PSL, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 33% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with TS Galaxy 32%, the draw 32% and Durban City 36%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | – |
| Both teams to score | 41% | No |
| TS Galaxy win | 32% | |
| Draw | 32% | |
| Durban City win | 36% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 58% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | |
| Goal in both halves | 42% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TS Galaxy | 8 | 50% | 38% | 38% |
| Durban City | 8 | 13% | 0% | 38% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 58% | 59% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 23% | 23% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | 70% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 31% | 30% |
| Goal in both halves | 42% | 43% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 42% | 2nd 40% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| TS Galaxy | 62% | 74% | 50 |
| Durban City | 50% | 66% | 38 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 55% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: TS Galaxy season stats · Durban City season stats · PSL table and form
League. PSL has had over 2.5 goals in 30% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. TS Galaxy 4 of 8 (1 of 4 at home), Durban City 1 of 8 (0 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 35% and 26%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 33% and 24%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 29%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 0% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 27%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.94 (TS Galaxy) v 1.03 (Durban City) give 32%; 30% weight: 29%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 33%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.