PSL · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 17:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United (PSL, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 37% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with Chippa United 21%, the draw 27% and Sekhukhune United 52%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | No |
| Chippa United win | 21% | |
| Draw | 27% | |
| Sekhukhune United win | 52% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 58% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 71% | |
| Goal in both halves | 41% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chippa United | 8 | 13% | 0% | 38% |
| Sekhukhune United | 8 | 25% | 13% | 38% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 58% | 59% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 23% | 23% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 71% | 70% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 36% | 30% |
| Goal in both halves | 41% | 43% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 42% | 2nd 40% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chippa United | 54% | 68% | 50 |
| Sekhukhune United | 56% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 55% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Chippa United season stats · Sekhukhune United season stats · PSL table and form
League. PSL has had over 2.5 goals in 30% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Chippa United 1 of 8 (1 of 5 at home), Sekhukhune United 2 of 8 (1 of 4 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 26% and 29%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 34% and 28%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 31%.
Head to head. 6 meetings in 3 years, 17% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 30%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.88 (Chippa United) v 1.53 (Sekhukhune United) give 43%; 30% weight: 34%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 37%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.