J2 League · Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · 05:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City (J2 League, Tuesday, 3 November 2026) 50% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Tegevajaro Miyazaki 43%, the draw 27% and Tochigi City 30%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | Yes |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki win | 43% | Pick |
| Draw | 27% | |
| Tochigi City win | 30% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 66% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 53% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 13 | 38% | 23% | 62% |
| Tochigi City | 13 | 77% | 46% | 69% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 66% | 67% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 36% | 30% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 45% | 39% |
| Goal in both halves | 53% | 52% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 58% | 80% | 50 |
| Tochigi City | 70% | 82% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 66% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Tegevajaro Miyazaki season stats · Tochigi City season stats · J2 League table and form
League. J2 League has had over 2.5 goals in 46% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Tegevajaro Miyazaki 5 of 13 (3 of 7 at home), Tochigi City 10 of 13 (5 of 7 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 43% and 57%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 48% and 54%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 50% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 50%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.45 (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) v 1.17 (Tochigi City) give 49%; 30% weight: 50%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.