Allsvenskan · Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · 18:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Sirius vs Halmstad (Allsvenskan, Tuesday, 3 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Sirius 69%, the draw 19% and Halmstad 13%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| Sirius win | 69% | Pick |
| Draw | 19% | |
| Halmstad win | 13% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | |
| Goal in both halves | 55% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 37% | 36% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 51% | 48% |
| Goal in both halves | 55% | 55% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 69% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Sirius season stats · Halmstad season stats · Allsvenskan table and form
League. Allsvenskan has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Sirius 18 of 25 (9 of 13 at home), Halmstad 10 of 25 (6 of 13 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 62% and 46%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 62% and 47%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 54%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 40% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.25 (Sirius) v 0.85 (Halmstad) give 60%; 30% weight: 55%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.