J3 League · Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · 05:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Kochi United vs Ehime FC (J3 League, Tuesday, 3 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Kochi United 17%, the draw 23% and Ehime FC 59%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| Kochi United win | 17% | |
| Draw | 23% | |
| Ehime FC win | 59% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 56% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kochi United | 13 | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Ehime FC | 13 | 77% | 54% | 77% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 70% | 66% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 32% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 47% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 56% | 49% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 47% | 2nd 47% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kochi United | 68% | 70% | 50 |
| Ehime FC | 80% | 88% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 64% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Kochi United season stats · Ehime FC season stats · J3 League table and form
League. J3 League has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Kochi United 5 of 13 (3 of 6 at home), Ehime FC 10 of 13 (3 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 45% and 59%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 48% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Goal model. Expected goals 0.86 (Kochi United) v 1.8 (Ehime FC) give 50%; 30% weight: 50%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 51%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.