Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · 00:15 UK time
CompactStats rates Independ. Rivadavia vs Banfield (Liga Profesional, Tuesday, 3 November 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Independ. Rivadavia 55%, the draw 22% and Banfield 23%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | Yes |
| Independ. Rivadavia win | 55% | Pick |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Banfield win | 23% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 64% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 71% | |
| Goal in both halves | 50% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independ. Rivadavia | 30 | 57% | 30% | 67% |
| Banfield | 30 | 43% | 20% | 57% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 64% | 60% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 25% | 21% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 71% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 39% | 34% |
| Goal in both halves | 50% | 44% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independ. Rivadavia | 74% | 68% | 50 |
| Banfield | 64% | 76% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 61% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Independ. Rivadavia season stats · Banfield season stats · Liga Profesional table and form
League. Liga Profesional has had over 2.5 goals in 35% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Independ. Rivadavia 17 of 30 (12 of 16 at home), Banfield 13 of 30 (8 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 47% and 40%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 45% and 40%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 41%.
Head to head. 4 meetings in 3 years, 25% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 40%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.05 (Independ. Rivadavia) v 1.28 (Banfield) give 65%; 30% weight: 47%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 49%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.