J3 League · Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · 07:00 UK time
CompactStats rates FC Ryukyu vs FC Gifu (J3 League, Tuesday, 3 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with FC Ryukyu 38%, the draw 28% and FC Gifu 34%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | Yes |
| FC Ryukyu win | 38% | Pick |
| Draw | 28% | |
| FC Gifu win | 34% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | |
| Goal in both halves | 51% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 68% | 66% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 35% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 77% | 76% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 43% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 51% | 49% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 47% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 64% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: FC Ryukyu season stats · FC Gifu season stats · J3 League table and form
League. J3 League has had over 2.5 goals in 49% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. FC Ryukyu 7 of 13 (2 of 6 at home), FC Gifu 7 of 13 (4 of 7 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 50% and 50%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 47% and 51%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 49%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 20% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 47%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.3 (FC Ryukyu) v 1.2 (FC Gifu) give 46%; 30% weight: 47%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 48%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.