Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · 00:15 UK time
CompactStats rates Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos JRS (Liga Profesional, Tuesday, 3 November 2026) 38% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with Atletico Tucuman 37%, the draw 30% and Argentinos JRS 33%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | No |
| Atletico Tucuman win | 37% | Pick |
| Draw | 30% | |
| Argentinos JRS win | 33% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 60% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | |
| Goal in both halves | 48% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman | 30 | 43% | 13% | 50% |
| Argentinos JRS | 32 | 31% | 9% | 47% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 60% | 60% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 21% | 21% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 34% | 34% |
| Goal in both halves | 48% | 44% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman | 60% | 82% | 50 |
| Argentinos JRS | 62% | 70% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 61% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Atletico Tucuman season stats · Argentinos JRS season stats · Liga Profesional table and form
League. Liga Profesional has had over 2.5 goals in 35% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Atletico Tucuman 13 of 30 (6 of 15 at home), Argentinos JRS 10 of 32 (4 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 40% and 33%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 40% and 33%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 36%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 0% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 35%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.13 (Atletico Tucuman) v 1.04 (Argentinos JRS) give 37%; 30% weight: 35%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 38%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.