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Vora vs Dinamo Tirana: prediction and stats

Superliga · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 12:30 UK time

58%Under 2.5 goals · our callSuperliga average 63% · stats, not advice

CompactStats rates Vora vs Dinamo Tirana (Superliga, Monday, 2 November 2026) 42% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with Vora 37%, the draw 28% and Dinamo Tirana 35%.

Our numbers

MarketOur chanceCall
Over 2.5 goals42%Under
Over 3.5 goals21%–
Both teams to score49%No
Vora win37%Pick
Draw28%
Dinamo Tirana win35%
Goal in the 1st half67%
Goal in the 2nd half69%
Goal in both halves46%
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Season form

TeamGamesO2.5O3.5BTTS
Vora838%38%50%
Dinamo Tirana743%29%43%

First and second half

This matchLeague
Goal in the 1st half67%65%
2+ goals in the 1st half27%25%
Goal in the 2nd half69%70%
2+ goals in the 2nd half37%37%
Goal in both halves46%46%
Half with most goals2nd 43%2nd 43%
Team (own games)1st half goal2nd half goalGames
Vora68%66%44
Dinamo Tirana70%68%50

League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 72% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.

Head to head

23 Aug 26Dinamo Tirana 0–1 VoraU2.5
6 May 26Dinamo Tirana 2–2 VoraO2.5
28 Feb 26Vora 1–2 Dinamo TiranaO2.5
19 Dec 25Dinamo Tirana 2–1 VoraO2.5
24 Oct 25Vora 0–2 Dinamo TiranaU2.5

More: Vora season stats · Dinamo Tirana season stats · Superliga table and form

How we got 42% for over 2.5 goalsleague 37% → sides 37% / 39% → with last season 36% / 36% → mix 36% → head to head 37% → goal model 39% → calibration 42% → 42%

League. Superliga has had over 2.5 goals in 37% of its games. That is the starting point.

Each side. Vora 3 of 8 (2 of 3 at home), Dinamo Tirana 3 of 7 (1 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 37% and 39%.

Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 36% and 36%.

Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 36%.

Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 60% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 37%.

Goal model. Expected goals 1.23 (Vora) v 1.19 (Dinamo Tirana) give 44%; 30% weight: 39%.

Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 42%.

Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.