Erovnuli Liga · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 15:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila (Erovnuli Liga, Monday, 2 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with Torpedo Kutaisi 40%, the draw 25% and Dila 35%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | – |
| Both teams to score | 57% | Yes |
| Torpedo Kutaisi win | 40% | Pick |
| Draw | 25% | |
| Dila win | 35% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 67% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | |
| Goal in both halves | 55% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 29 | 52% | 31% | 62% |
| Dila | 30 | 53% | 30% | 53% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 67% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 36% | 35% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | 83% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 49% | 42% |
| Goal in both halves | 55% | 58% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 68% | 82% | 50 |
| Dila | 64% | 86% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 70% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Torpedo Kutaisi season stats · Dila season stats · Erovnuli Liga table and form
League. Erovnuli Liga has had over 2.5 goals in 51% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Torpedo Kutaisi 15 of 29 (8 of 15 at home), Dila 16 of 30 (9 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 51% and 52%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 52% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 52%.
Head to head. 11 meetings in 3 years, 36% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 51%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.55 (Torpedo Kutaisi) v 1.44 (Dila) give 57%; 30% weight: 53%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.