Superliga · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 17:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Teuta Durrës vs Partizani (Superliga, Monday, 2 November 2026) 44% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Teuta Durrës 55%, the draw 24% and Partizani 21%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | No |
| Teuta Durrës win | 55% | Pick |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Partizani win | 21% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 64% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | |
| Goal in both halves | 48% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teuta Durrës | 8 | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Partizani | 8 | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 64% | 65% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 26% | 25% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 70% | 70% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 36% | 37% |
| Goal in both halves | 48% | 46% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 43% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teuta Durrës | 58% | 66% | 50 |
| Partizani | 68% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 72% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Teuta Durrës season stats · Partizani season stats · Superliga table and form
League. Superliga has had over 2.5 goals in 37% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Teuta Durrës 2 of 8 (1 of 4 at home), Partizani 6 of 8 (3 of 3 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 34% and 47%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 32% and 43%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 38%.
Head to head. 12 meetings in 3 years, 25% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 37%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.76 (Teuta Durrës) v 1.01 (Partizani) give 52%; 30% weight: 42%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 44%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.