Primera Division · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 20:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca (Primera Division, Monday, 2 November 2026) 61% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with Sporting Cristal 70%, the draw 17% and FC Cajamarca 13%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | Yes |
| Sporting Cristal win | 70% | Pick |
| Draw | 17% | |
| FC Cajamarca win | 13% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | |
| Goal in both halves | 55% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | 30 | 70% | 47% | 73% |
| FC Cajamarca | 30 | 63% | 43% | 70% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 71% | 70% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 36% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | 79% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 52% | 44% |
| Goal in both halves | 55% | 56% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 47% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | 70% | 80% | 50 |
| FC Cajamarca | 77% | 73% | 30 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 70% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Sporting Cristal season stats · FC Cajamarca season stats · Primera Division table and form
League. Primera Division has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Sporting Cristal 21 of 30 (12 of 14 at home), FC Cajamarca 19 of 30 (9 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 62% and 58%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 60% and 58%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 58%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.56 (Sporting Cristal) v 1.04 (FC Cajamarca) give 70%; 30% weight: 61%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.