Primera Division · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 16:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar (Primera Division, Monday, 2 November 2026) 57% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with Sport Huancayo 37%, the draw 25% and FBC Melgar 37%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | Yes |
| Sport Huancayo win | 37% | |
| Draw | 25% | |
| FBC Melgar win | 37% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | |
| Goal in both halves | 61% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo | 30 | 67% | 30% | 70% |
| FBC Melgar | 30 | 60% | 37% | 67% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | 70% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 35% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 80% | 79% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 47% | 44% |
| Goal in both halves | 61% | 56% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 47% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo | 78% | 86% | 50 |
| FBC Melgar | 72% | 82% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 70% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Sport Huancayo season stats · FBC Melgar season stats · Primera Division table and form
League. Primera Division has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Sport Huancayo 20 of 30 (9 of 15 at home), FBC Melgar 18 of 30 (8 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 60% and 57%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 59% and 55%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 56%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 80% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 57%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.45 (Sport Huancayo) v 1.46 (FBC Melgar) give 56%; 30% weight: 57%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.