MLS · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 02:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo (MLS, Monday, 2 November 2026) 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with Portland Timbers 39%, the draw 25% and Houston Dynamo 35%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | Yes |
| Portland Timbers win | 39% | Pick |
| Draw | 25% | |
| Houston Dynamo win | 35% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | |
| Goal in both halves | 62% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers | 31 | 71% | 48% | 74% |
| Houston Dynamo | 31 | 42% | 26% | 42% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 40% | 41% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | 81% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 48% | 51% |
| Goal in both halves | 62% | 64% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers | 90% | 78% | 50 |
| Houston Dynamo | 72% | 70% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 78% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Portland Timbers season stats · Houston Dynamo season stats · MLS table and form
League. MLS has had over 2.5 goals in 61% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Portland Timbers 22 of 31 (13 of 16 at home), Houston Dynamo 13 of 31 (7 of 15 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 67% and 50%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 65% and 52%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 59%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 60% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 59%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.51 (Portland Timbers) v 1.42 (Houston Dynamo) give 56%; 30% weight: 58%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.