Segunda · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 15:15 UK time
CompactStats rates Oviedo vs Las Palmas (Segunda, Monday, 2 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Oviedo 51%, the draw 26% and Las Palmas 23%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | Yes |
| Oviedo win | 51% | Pick |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Las Palmas win | 23% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | |
| Goal in both halves | 50% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 11 | 55% | 36% | 45% |
| Las Palmas | 11 | 64% | 36% | 55% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 68% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 30% | 34% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 72% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 44% | 45% |
| Goal in both halves | 50% | 52% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 72% | 62% | 50 |
| Las Palmas | 68% | 70% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 70% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Oviedo season stats · Las Palmas season stats · Segunda table and form
League. Segunda has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Oviedo 6 of 11 (1 of 5 at home), Las Palmas 7 of 11 (3 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 51% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 46% and 48%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 48%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.57 (Oviedo) v 0.95 (Las Palmas) give 46%; 30% weight: 47%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 48%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.