MLS · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 00:00 UK time
CompactStats rates New England Revolution vs Inter Miami (MLS, Monday, 2 November 2026) 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with New England Revolution 31%, the draw 24% and Inter Miami 45%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | – |
| Both teams to score | 64% | Yes |
| New England Revolution win | 31% | |
| Draw | 24% | |
| Inter Miami win | 45% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 80% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | |
| Goal in both halves | 72% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 31 | 71% | 26% | 61% |
| Inter Miami | 31 | 74% | 61% | 74% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 80% | 77% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 46% | 41% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 83% | 81% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 58% | 51% |
| Goal in both halves | 72% | 64% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 44% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 80% | 86% | 50 |
| Inter Miami | 88% | 92% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 78% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: New England Revolution season stats · Inter Miami season stats · MLS table and form
League. MLS has had over 2.5 goals in 61% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. New England Revolution 22 of 31 (9 of 15 at home), Inter Miami 23 of 31 (11 of 16 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 67% and 69%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 64% and 70%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 66%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 80% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 67%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.39 (New England Revolution) v 1.71 (Inter Miami) give 60%; 30% weight: 64%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.