Allsvenskan · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 18:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF (Allsvenskan, Monday, 2 November 2026) 50% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Mjallby AIF 49%, the draw 28% and Kalmar FF 22%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | Under |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | No |
| Mjallby AIF win | 49% | Pick |
| Draw | 28% | |
| Kalmar FF win | 22% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | |
| Goal in both halves | 51% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjallby AIF | 24 | 46% | 25% | 50% |
| Kalmar FF | 25 | 52% | 24% | 40% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 69% | 69% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 36% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 78% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 45% | 48% |
| Goal in both halves | 51% | 55% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 45% | 2nd 45% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mjallby AIF | 60% | 72% | 50 |
| Kalmar FF | 76% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 69% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Mjallby AIF season stats · Kalmar FF season stats · Allsvenskan table and form
League. Allsvenskan has had over 2.5 goals in 52% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Mjallby AIF 11 of 24 (5 of 12 at home), Kalmar FF 13 of 25 (5 of 13 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 49% and 52%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 49% and 51%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 50%.
Head to head. 3 meetings in 3 years, 100% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 53%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.4 (Mjallby AIF) v 0.84 (Kalmar FF) give 39%; 30% weight: 49%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 50%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.