Damallsvenskan (W) · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 17:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Malmö FF W vs Norrköping W (Damallsvenskan (W), Monday, 2 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with Malmö FF W 53%, the draw 29% and Norrköping W 19%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | No |
| Malmö FF W win | 53% | Pick |
| Draw | 29% | |
| Norrköping W win | 19% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 81% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | |
| Goal in both halves | 64% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmö FF W | 23 | 52% | 26% | 43% |
| Norrköping W | 23 | 43% | 26% | 43% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 81% | 79% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 40% | 43% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 81% | 83% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 47% | 54% |
| Goal in both halves | 64% | 65% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 44% | 2nd 47% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malmö FF W | 82% | 80% | 50 |
| Norrköping W | 86% | 74% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 80% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Malmö FF W season stats · Norrköping W season stats · Damallsvenskan (W) table and form
League. Damallsvenskan (W) has had over 2.5 goals in 64% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Malmö FF W 12 of 23 (6 of 11 at home), Norrköping W 10 of 23 (3 of 11 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 58% and 54%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 61% and 56%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 60%.
Head to head. 3 meetings in 3 years, 33% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 58%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.39 (Malmö FF W) v 0.7 (Norrköping W) give 35%; 30% weight: 51%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 52%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.