Super League · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 17:30 UK time
CompactStats rates Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908 (Super League, Monday, 2 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Kalamata 47%, the draw 25% and Iraklis 1908 28%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | Yes |
| Kalamata win | 47% | Pick |
| Draw | 25% | |
| Iraklis 1908 win | 28% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | |
| Goal in both halves | 56% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalamata | 8 | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| Iraklis 1908 | 8 | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 72% | 71% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 34% | 33% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 76% | 75% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 43% | 43% |
| Goal in both halves | 56% | 55% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 43% | 2nd 42% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalamata | 78% | 80% | 45 |
| Iraklis 1908 | 69% | 73% | 48 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 73% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Kalamata season stats · Iraklis 1908 season stats · Super League table and form
League. Super League has had over 2.5 goals in 50% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Kalamata 5 of 8 (3 of 4 at home), Iraklis 1908 3 of 8 (2 of 5 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 53% and 47%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 48% and 48%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 48%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.66 (Kalamata) v 1.21 (Iraklis 1908) give 55%; 30% weight: 50%.
Calibration. Low ratings in this range have run a little pessimistic in testing, so they are lifted: 51%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.