Eerste Divisie · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 19:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie, Monday, 2 November 2026) 65% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with Jong Utrecht 46%, the draw 22% and Dordrecht 31%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | – |
| Both teams to score | 67% | Yes |
| Jong Utrecht win | 46% | Pick |
| Draw | 22% | |
| Dordrecht win | 31% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 86% | |
| Goal in both halves | 66% |
In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, sortable tables and a slip you can share.
| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 12 | 92% | 50% | 92% |
| Dordrecht | 12 | 75% | 42% | 67% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 42% | 42% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 86% | 85% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 56% | 55% |
| Goal in both halves | 66% | 66% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 47% | 2nd 48% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 78% | 90% | 50 |
| Dordrecht | 72% | 84% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 83% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Jong Utrecht season stats · Dordrecht season stats · Eerste Divisie table and form
League. Eerste Divisie has had over 2.5 goals in 64% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Jong Utrecht 11 of 12 (5 of 6 at home), Dordrecht 9 of 12 (4 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 73% and 68%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 65% and 62%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 64%.
Head to head. 5 meetings in 3 years, 60% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 63%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.96 (Jong Utrecht) v 1.59 (Dordrecht) give 69%; 30% weight: 65%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.