Eerste Divisie · Monday, 2 November 2026 · 19:00 UK time
CompactStats rates Heracles vs FC OSS (Eerste Divisie, Monday, 2 November 2026) 64% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with Heracles 70%, the draw 18% and FC OSS 12%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | Yes |
| Heracles win | 70% | Pick |
| Draw | 18% | |
| FC OSS win | 12% | |
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 86% | |
| Goal in both halves | 67% |
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| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 77% | 78% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 41% | 42% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 86% | 85% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 60% | 55% |
| Goal in both halves | 67% | 66% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 46% | 2nd 48% |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 83% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: Heracles season stats · FC OSS season stats · Eerste Divisie table and form
League. Eerste Divisie has had over 2.5 goals in 64% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. Heracles 9 of 12 (4 of 5 at home), FC OSS 10 of 12 (4 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 68% and 70%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 67% and 65%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 66%.
Goal model. Expected goals 2.29 (Heracles) v 0.83 (FC OSS) give 60%; 30% weight: 64%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating. The full model is in the methodology.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.